Article written by Todd
Spiker

JELENA-DOKIC.com - March
18, 2003
JELENA CORNER
*INDIAN WELLS (seed #6) BREAKDOWN*
2353....3/3 points total
1.......1r bye
0.......2r: Rittner (#87) - 1-6,7-5,3-6
1.......EVENT TOTAL (nonqualifying)
0.......POINTS FOR WEEK
SINGLES STANDING
2353....3/17 points total (#9)
137.....2003 WTA points race (#61)
D-......JD.com Indian Wells singles grade
DOUBLES STANDING
1673....3/17 points total (#13)
254.....Dokic/Petrova (#12 in points race)
B+......JD.com Indian Wells doubles grade
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WHERE'S
JELENA?
by Todd Spiker
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Forget the search for the elusive Waldo, the biggest
question around The Corner these days has concerned the
location of the fair Miss Dokic... or at least a version of
her that's a little more recognizable than the one that's
been in evidence so far in 2003.
She remained unwell in Indian Wells last time out, a
tournament that turned out to be much ado about nothing
despite the spark of hope that her early birthday present of
a draw produced last time we spoke. The spark was just a
dud, as even the Square One prerequisite of a single,
solitary win proved to be too much for Jelena to attain.
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CAREER WORST
LOSING STREAKS
4 Sept/Oct 02...Tokyo,Leip,Moscow,Fild
4 Feb/Mar 03....Paris,Antwerp,Scott,IW
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The one California bright spot, predictably, came on the
doubles courts as Jelena teamed with Nadia Petrova (23-8
together) for a nice SF run to at least produce a small
reminder of better days. But, even there, the Indian Wells
SF defeat went down as the only SF match (they were 5-0
going in) that the Dokic-Petrova team has ever lost.
BAD STARTS, WORSE FINISHES
As everyone wonders whether Jelena will get her
one-for-the-thumb fifth straight loss in Miami, the
up-to-date shopping list for the coming tournament is
remarkably short:
1.A good start.
2.A good close.
3.And, of course, a single win.
In this current slide, it has been the small, elemental
basics that lead to victories that have been hard to come by
for Jelena. The first, maybe most important, thing that's
been plaguing her game so far this season has been the
horrendous 1st sets that have set her up for failure.
Remember, the difference between a fast-starting Jelena
and a slow-starting Jelena's won-lost record has been
striking over the years:
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....::::THE
FIRST SET::::....
WINS 1st............LOSES 1st
2-0.........2003..........0-5
130-14.....CAREER.......21-73
65-0......JUNIORS.......13-15
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In her seven matches in 2003, Jelena's game has lagged
behind in the lockerroom six times (even in one of her wins,
she fell behind 0-5 to Angelique Widjaja). Only a 6-3 1st
set against Emilie Loit -- the Frenchwoman who nearly ended
the search for the Serena Slam in Melbourne -- has been
anything resembling routine. Not surprisingly, that match
is the only one she's comfortably won so far this season.
The inability to close out matches has been a thorn in
her side in 2003, as well. She lost 12 of the last 15
points against Lisa Raymond, the last 4 games after fighting
back from a set and a break down against Ai Sugiyama to
finally gain a 3-2 3rd set lead, and the final 3 games last
time out against Barbara Rittner after again coming from
behind to get to 3-3 in the 3rd.
Put her bad starts and worse finishes together and you
get the atrocious 0-13 run after losing the 1st set, and 0-6
slump in three-set matches. The pattern has been fairly
consistent in 2003 -- Jelena digs herself a huge hole, puts
her head down in that disconsolate manner that she sometimes
frustratingly does, and races for the finish. Matchpoint
can't come quickly enough.
Even when the fight bubbles up inside her, she can't
maintain it to the end. Hence the coulda-shoulda-woulda,
near-kickstarting wins that got away against Sugiyama and
Rittner. Winning either of those matches might have broken
her out of this rut, but she walked away a loser both times.
All of this can at least partially be listed under the
category of "match toughness." It's run the gamut from
spotty to nonexistent throughout this opening to Jelena's
season. The one way to change that is by getting more
matches under her belt, an area where she finds herself at a
decided disadvantage. These are the match totals for the
Top 20 players (including exhibitions) in 2003:
27...Kim Clijsters
21...Amanda Coetzer
21...Eleni Daniilidou
20...Lindsay Davenport
19...Chanda Rubin
18...Daniela Hantuchova
18...Ai Sugiyama
16...Justine Henin-Hardenne
16...Patty Schnyder
15...Maggie Maleeva
15...Anastasia Myskina
15...Elena Bovina
13...Serena Williams
14...Meghannn Shaughnessy
14...Elena Dementieva
11...Venus Williams
11...Amelie Mauresmo
10...Jennifer Capriati
10...Anna Pistolesi
7....JELENA
How ironic that a player who's often criticized for
playing too many matches is now suffering because of her
lack of matchplay. Of course, the best way to change this
is to actually win a few matches and, so far, Jelena has
made things difficult for herself with her bad starts and
worse finishes. She's not giving herself the best
opportunity to work out her game's flaws, or work off its
thick rust. Her Aussie boycott let everyone get ahead of
her, and now she's caught in the vicious cycle of her own
making.
So, as she attempts to fight her way back, wins are
nice... but maybe she should first focus on getting out of
the gate quicker. Eventually, the rest will fall into place
over time.
BUT, AT LEAST...
Jelena DOES seem to have a plan, maybe for the first time
in her career. With Heinz Gunthardt aboard and her own
public comments about her current troubles not worrying her,
there's some sense that she's finally decided that to get
where she wants to go on the tennis court she can no longer
just wing it and only do what comes naturally in her game.
She's never been the best thinker on court. She's a
pounder and a grinder, and she's always either found a way
to hit herself out of poor play or flamed out in a way that
made you want to cover your eyes (remember that 0-6 set
against Hingis at the US Open a while back?). Whichever it
was depended on the day, hour or her minute-by-minute mood.
That she's trying to give her game a Plan B is a good thing,
even if it means going through the growing pains of trying
to change a lifetime thought process...and, yes, even if it
means a fifth, sixth or seventh straight loss (well, maybe
not a seventh).
She can't suddenly alter her decided course now, and
throw out the proverbial baby with the bathwater after just
seven matches this season. The "new" Jelena hasn't even
gotten a true opportunity to rise or fall. At the moment,
she seems to be showing faith that things will work out and
that her results will eventually start to steadily build
themselves back up to the level of her previous seasons. If
she holds true, no matter how difficult the road might be,
the place where her game ultimately lands (maybe sometime
this summer, maybe even this spring) could very well be
worth it. To do battle with the likes of the Williams
sisters, the reinvigorated Davenport and even longtime
opponent Clijsters, this process is essential. To turn back
so soon would be to give up and settle, and one has to think
the competitor that's always resided inside Jelena Dokic
won't allow her to do that. Hopefully.
Credit her for not being content to stand pat and just
accept her current situation, but to instead reach for
something more. She's at least trying to find a better way.
That's about as good a spin as I can think of to put on
this continuing Road to
Nowhere-that-will-hopefully-soon-detour-to-somewhere that
Jelena's travelling down right now. If she can just remain
strong and stay on her intended course, in short time there
might be no one asking "Where's Jelena?" She'll be right
where she wants to be, or closer to it than ever before.
===========================================
...::JELENA DOESN'T NEED BINOCULARS TO SEE WONDER GIRL
ANYMORE..::
#5 Capriati........leads by 557
#6 Davenport.......leads by 501
#7 Mauresmo........leads by 272
#8 Hantuchova......leads by 126
#9 JELENA...2353
#10 Rubin..........trails by 83
#11 Myskina.......trails by 137
#12 Seles.........trails by 278
....Hantuchova felt the pressure of defending her first (and
only) career singles title in Indian Wells, falling in the
4r to Amanda Coetzer. As a result, Jelena now finds herself
just 126 behind her.
....Meanwhile, Rubin is breathing down Jelena's neck and
could pass her soon unless The Slide starts to turn upward.
Myskina is closing in, too, but her inconsistency (out in
the 2r in Indian Wells) resembles Jelena's enough that the
Russian might not be able to take advantage of her
opportunity to regain the Top 10 ranking she held for one
week last month.
**JELENA IN TIER I's**
2001......20-5, two titles, three finals
2002-03...9-11, nine losses in 2r/3r
NASDAQ-100 OPEN
Miami, Florida
Tier I - Hard Outdoor
#9 seed - 2r: vs. Kuznetsova/Ruano-Pascual
2002: 3r loss to Kremer (38 pts.)
POINTS CHART
W=325, RU=228, SF=146, QF=81, 4r=45, 3r=28, 2r=16, 1r=1
Unlike with Indian Wells, I don't like Jelena's Miami
draw. Not one little bit. In fact, it's difficult to take
my mind off her opening 2r match.
Jelena hasn't won a match in six weeks, and now she'll be
faced with more than likely exactly the type of player that
could stretch her losing streak to a career-worst five
matches. She just couldn't draw the winner of a 1r match
between two qualifers, ala Alexandra Stevenson this week,
now could she?
Instead, she either gets a veteran like Virginia
Ruano-Pascual (not great, you say, but the same was said
about Rittner in I.W.) or... (insert potentially big
gulp)... Svetlana Kuznetsova. What a headache that match
could be! A hungry teen. A big, powerful teen. A two-time
WTA singles title-winning team at 17. A player whose '03
singles game (she's won two doubles crowns with Navratilova)
is just now rounding into shape, hence her upset of Myskina
in Indian Wells. A player who Jelena is unfamiliar with,
and one capable of getting on top of her early with her
power... and I've already talked about Jelena's woeful
opening set performances this year (and her career-long
problems when she falls behind). Just about the only stat I
can find that looks encouraging is that Jelena has a
commanding 20-4 record against the Russians since the Sydney
Olympics. And with Jelena's current records-be-damned level
of play, I'm not sure that's all too relevant.
I said a few weeks ago that things would get worse before
they'd get better. Well, Miami might be a perfect case in
point. I can't see her getting past the 2r here. I hope
I'm wrong, but I don't think I am.
Looks like Jelena's going to have a whole lot to prove in
Sarasota two weeks from now. She'll have to go in with a
big chip on her shoulder born out of the confidence she
gained there LAST year, because it's difficult to see her
picking up any at all in Miami.
======================
AFTER MIAMI: the debut of the Jelena Awards (pretty slim
pickings for the inaugural edition, I know, but I'll find
SOMETHING) for the 1st Quarter, and a 2nd Quarter preview
THIS WEEK ON TENNISRULZ: "Chucking
the Choke?"...could Kim Clijsters NOW be ready to challenge
The Sisters?