
JELENA-DOKIC.com - March 4, 2003
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JELENA CORNER
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What, Her Worry?
by Todd Spiker
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What's that voice I hear? It sounds strikingly familiar.
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"I'm mentally and
physically struggling right now. But I'm not
worried."
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Yes, the lady has spoken. Jelena isn't worried... at
least not yet.
Meanwhile, she's still rooting around on the hardcourts
looking for some matches to finally allow her game to get
into some kind of rhythym. So far, it's been an elusive
quest. It now moves to Indian Wells.
Only time will tell whether or not the Road to Nowhere
will soon present a sunny detour down the Boulevard of
Better Days. Maybe they're not as far off as things may
have made them appear. After all, Ai Sugiyama's Scottsdale
title on Sunday means that all four of Jelena's 2003's
conqueror's have already won singles titles this season
(that's nearly a third of the 15 women who've won crowns so
far). Quite the odd, perplexing stat, huh? What is to be
made of it?
Is Jelena playing the role of second banana more because
of her game's own problems, or the sterling condition of
those of her opponents? Is she just back-to-back,
confidence-boosting wins from resembling something closer to
the Jelena who rose to #4 in the WTA rankings last year?
Might her near comeback win against the white-hot Sugiyama
mean she's closer than anyone imagined to regaining her
form?
Hmmm, could it be that she knows more than she's
telling? Could we be about to find out in Indian Wells?
Stay tuned... the waiting game has officially begun.
--WONDER GIRL WITHIN SIGHT?--
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#5
Hantuchova.......leads by 544
#6 Capriati.........leads by 365
#7 Davenport........leads by 182
#8 Mauresmo.........leads by 156
#9 JELENA...................2353
#10 Seles...........trails by 72
#11 Myskina........trails by 108
#12 Rubin..........trails by 194
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Due to her 3r exit last year, Jelena is defending nothing
at Indian Wells. In order to add to her 2353 points, she'll
need to garner 58-or-more points in this two-week event.
And with a draw that seems to finally be conducive to making
some headway, she might just do it.
Meanwhile, as Myskina and Rubin charge up from behind, at
least one player ahead of Jelena could soon move to within
striking distance if Jelena can soon regain her form. Yes,
Wonder Girl is now being called upon to defend her
breakthrough Indian Wells title of last season.
Hantuchova leads Jelena by 544, and must now defend her
481-point haul. 2473 points is the low total W-Girl could
end the week with, if she were to uncharacteristically
stumble in her first match (unlikely for her on the big
stage -- per usual she was 4-1 in Oz, but is just 5-5 in
other events this season). 2473 would leave her only 120
points ahead of Jelena's current 2353. Hantuchova will
surely do better than a 2r exit, but anything short of a
repeat title will only bring Jelena closer... and the
still-teenaged Wonder Girl has never faced this sort of
big-time pressure before.
--A QUICK PEEK AHEAD...TO SARASOTA & ROME--
Barring one huge run in March, Jelena will likely only
match about half (or less) of her 2002 1st Quarter points
this season, so it's proper to begin to take an early peek
ahead.
For now, she'll continue the process of revving her
engine on the American hardcourts in March, getting ready
for the needed burst from the gate on the clay. At least
making some progress in Indian Wells and Miami in vital. A
great result isn't necessary, but she needs to accomplish
something that she can use as a foundation on which to build
the confidence she'll need in the coming months.
In those months, she'll face seven 130-plus point
defenses from her most successful 2002 Quarter. When you
factor in a few weeks off (she can't repeat the 13 of 14
weeks schedule of action from last season), including the
pre-RG 134-point total in Strasbourg that she would decide
not to defend if she keeps her promise to avoid play the
week preceding any grand slam, and it's apparent that Jelena
is going to have to make the most of each tournament she
plays to avoid suffering some real damage to her ranking.
And, remember, no Top 10 player has more opening match
losses in the past year than Jelena.
I'll be going into the 2nd quarter possibilities more in
the coming weeks, but I will make a quick parting mention
here of what might be the two most important non-slam
tournaments that will be coming up. Take out your yellow
highlighters and underline Sarasota and Rome on your WTA
schedule right now. They are two places where Jelena is
going to need to make a stand.
Sarasota opens the Quarter as Jelena defends a title (she
won the doubles there, too, in 2002) and seeks to kickstart
her season at the precise moment she did so a year ago. An
early round loss could be emotionally devastating. Rome
comes two weeks before Roland Garros (and should be her
final tournament before she makes her '03 slam debt in
Paris) and could be crucial as far as setting the tone for
her play in this summer's slams. Rome, you remember, was
where Jelena won her first singles title in 2001, but where
she stumbled badly in trying to defend it last season. A
great run there could wake the echoes of all that success of
two years ago.
Sarasota and Rome. They might be the moments on which
Jelena's 2nd Quarter -- and maybe entire season -- turn...
for the better, or the worse.
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2nd Qtr.Pts.Chart
***2002 TOTALS***
157......Sarasota
135......A.Island
1......Charleston
0.............DNP
156.......Hamburg
40.........Berlin
61...........Rome
134....Strasbourg
238......R.Garros
186....Birmingham
1......Eastbourne
132.....Wimbledon
=================
TOTAL........1241
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=====================================
**JELENA IN TIER I'S**
1999...............1-1
2000...............9-7
2001..............20-5
.....Rome W, Moscow W, Zurich RU
2002...............8-9
2003...............1-1
PACIFIC LIFE OPEN
Indian Wells, California
March 3-15
Hard Outdoor; Tier I
#6 seed; 2r: vs. Rittner/qualifier
2002: lost to Kremer (3r) - 36 pts.
-----------------------------------
POINTS CHART
W=325..RU=228..SF=146..QF=81
4r=45..3r=28...2r=16...1r=1
Do my eyes deceive me, or does Jelena REALLY have a good
draw in Indian Wells?
Hmmm... here's proof of SOMETHING: she can't play a 2003
singles champion until at least the QF, and even then it
might not be '02 I.W. titleist Hantuchova if she's unable to
handle the great pressure she'll be facing in this event.
Just ask Jelena what it's like to be to faced with defending
your first title, and it's a Tier I to boot (see Rome 2002).
The draw isn't without it's potential pitfalls,
especially for a player who hasn't won back-to-back matches
since September. But, still, Jelena couldn't have asked for
a better draw as the #6 seed. Barbara Rittner or a
qualifier in the 2r, Virginie Razzano or Conchita Martinez
(Jelena's won 5 straight against her, but did lose to the
vet in Indian Wells in 2000) in the 3r, and Tatiana Panova
(who knocked off Jelena during her late '02 swoon) or Anna
Pistolesi (who always loses early in big events) in the 4r.
That's certainly the type of workable draw that Jelena needs
to finally get enough matches in to begin to get her mind
and game straight.
Jelena's four losses have a lot of "but's" and "if's"
attached to them, considering all four have come to '03
singles champions (and she nearly pulled off a great
comeback win over the tour's hottest player over the last
few weeks, Ai Sugiyama, in Antwerp). So, could this
suddenly prove to be a somewhat surprisingly medicinal trip
to California? Jelena says she's "not worried" by her
recent results, but can she get truly well in Indian Wells?
PREDICTION:
Going against my initial feelings about March, I'm going
to say yes... to a point. As long as she gets past her
opening opponent, we might just see Jelena's best Indian
Wells result (2002 3r) by at least a round.
If Hantuchova crumbles a little under the pressure of
defending her title, Jelena could benefit even more
(especially since it probably isn't likely that 31-year old
Coetzer, a potential QF opponent if Wonder Girl's mission
fails, can put together a third straight monster result).
And since I've got a feeling Hantuchova won't show
incredibly well, I now find myself having to push Jelena
farther along in the tournament than I'm totally comfortable
with. But, hey, Jelena's not worried, right? She has to
turn things around some time, so why not now?
I'll bite my lip, grit my teeth and stick my neck out
with at least a QF result, but really hold onto the belief
that it'll be a SF because of doubts about Hantuchova.
It would certainly knock the Jelena Alert Level down a
few notches, wouldn't it?
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