
JELENA-DOKIC.com -
February 28, 2003
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JELENA
CORNER
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Back to Square One
by Todd Spiker
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*Scottsdale (#4 seed) Breakdown*
2353...Feb.24 points
1......1r bye
0......2r: Shaughnessy (#27) - 4-6,2-6
1......EVENT TOTAL
2353...March 3 ranking points (#9)
136....March 3 Points Race total
--RAINING ARIZONA--
So, was Scottsdale worth it? Need the question even be
asked?
As it turns out, Jelena's little side trip to Arizona was
a predictably rainy waste of time for the Tour's frequent
flyer miles race leader. In fact, deciding to show up there
might just have been her most needless decision since that
fateful choice of playing immediately after her Paris injury
at the start of last season. Only this time there IS a
little good news -- she's not hurting... well, not
physically.
At least she was able to satiate her apparent burning
desire to play this week, albeit in possibly the wrong
venue. Most players would have extended their idle time to
include a second week to prepare for the two Tier I's in
March. But not Jelena, she takes out her frustration by
playing, and then playing some more and then, in a pinch,
playing a little bit more.
In this mindset, although it was a clay event, it might
have been a better idea to go to Acapulco rather than
Scottsdale. Jelena would have been the #1 seed in a lesser
field, with a much better chance of getting the multiple
matches she so obviously craves at the moment. Scottsdale
gave her nothing of the kind, and was foreseen here earlier
this week as simply a setup for further disappointment.
Unfortunately, that belief proved true in the end.
Standing at 2-4 so far in 2003, the reasons for this slow
start can't be shouldered by the injuries that produced the
5-5 beginning of 2002. This time it's poor play that's the
culprit, plain and simple. Factor in the transitionary
period necessary as she begins her coach-player relationship
with Heinz Gunthardt, and you get the extension of Jelena's
current trip down the Road to Nowhere.
It's a small measure of relief that three of Jelena's
four early losses have now come to players who have already
won singles titles this year (and the fourth, to Ai
Sugiyama, was further footnoted by the interesting fact that
the Japanese vet knocked off Lindsay Davenport in
Scottsdale). The facts don't lessen the effect of the
losses, or the reality that Jelena's game is totally out of
sorts at the moment. Just take a look at the updated Slide
Chart (it never lies):
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***THE
PARTYPOOPING SLIDE CHART**
2003 match record.............2-4
Last 3 matches................0-3
Last 16 matches..............5-11
Last 32 matches.............16-16
Last 5 3-setters..............0-5
Last 12 when loses 1st set...0-12
Tour.w/o back-to-back wins.....10
Tour.w/o holding seed.......11/12
Tour.lost to unseeded player..6/9
Tour.lost to lesser ranked..12/13
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--SQUARE ONE--
At least with her health on her side, Jelena should be
able to fashion a plan to get out of her current
predicament. It's not so much if, but when, she'll be able
to successfully pull herself out of the pit she finds
herself in that is the big question.
**LONGEST CAREER LOSING STREAKS**
4...Sept/Oct 02 - Tokyo/Leip/Mosc/Fild
3...Aug/Sept 99 - Toronto/US/Tokyo
3...July/Aug 00 - Wimb/Mont/N.Haven
3...July/Aug 01 - Wimb/Vienna/Knokke-H
3...CURRENT - Paris/Antwerp/Scottsdale
As March 2003 arrives, Jelena is still playing catchup.
It's the continuing late stages of the chain reaction that
began when she played far too much as 2002 closed,
precipitating (or is it providing a legitimate excuse for?)
her late start to this season, and now further complicated
by a new coach and mounting frustration with this string of
bad results. She's still paying for past mistakes. After
running at full speed toward a brick wall for so long, she
finally hit it head-first a while back. Recovery isn't an
overnight prodecure.
In fact, we're probably still a month away from seeing
any signs of real rejuvenation. By then, the Tier I's will
have passed and the claycourt season will be upon us. It
can't get here soon enough, as Jelena will likely leave this
early hardcourt circuit without the Top 10 ranking that's
become a matter-of-fact possession since October 2001.
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1st.Qtr.Points Chart
2002************2003
0......WEEK 1......0 0......WEEK 2......0
0........Oz........0
1......WEEK 5.....77
230....WEEK 6.....57
1......WEEK 7......1
0......WEEK 8......0
0......WEEK 9......1
36....WK.10/11......
38....WK.12/13......
====================
2002 1st Qtr.Pts=306
2003 1st Qtr.Pts=136
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The Sarasota title defense now stands one month away.
It's only a Tier IV, but it could be ultra-important for
Jelena's psyche heading into the claycourt season where she
must finally regain her rhythym. In the 1st Quarter of 2002
(Week 1-13), Jelena accumated 306 points. In the 2nd
Quarter (Week 14-27, including both RG and Wimbledon) she
totalled 1241. For the third straight season, the clay will
have to be her salvation.
The clay season will carry with it an importance not
quite as points defense-heavy as last year's 4th quarter,
but it'll be significant nonetheless. This time, though,
it's Jelena's own mindset that's at issue, and her psyche at
stake. She didn't handle the pressure-packed end stages of
2002 very well, playing too often in order to protect her
ranking points and ultimately mentally and physically
breaking down as the year came to a close. That has to
change this time around in 2003's most important upcoming
stretch. She played in 13 of the 2nd quarter's 14 weeks
last year. If she does that again, we could be calling last
year's fade child's play in comparison to what might happen
come this September/October. She'll have to pick her venues
of action wisely and, if she's not immediately successful on
the court, not let her frustration further mount to the
point where she perpetrates the same crime against her
game/psyche that she's oh-so-susceptible to commit.
Choosing to play Scottsdale wasn't a good indication of
her decision-making rehabilitation. Hopefully, she realizes
that now... but what are the odds of that? So, success in
Sarasota in Week 14 might be necessary in order to save
Jelena from herself. For that to come about, at least a
little movement toward the light at the end of the tunnel
will need to be fostered in the two Tier I's in order for
Jelena to manage to get her chin up.
She need not win either Indian Wells or Miami, nor make a
final or even a SF... but she does have to find a way to
move in the right direction. Step-by-step.
Square-by-square.
Riding a three-match losing streak, one loss away from
equally the career-worst slide of last September/October
that began the current downturn, Square One is getting just
a single win next week. One... and even that might be a
struggle right now.
We'll soon see whether Jelena is up to even that greatly
reduced goal. Thankfully, she'll have at least two attempts
to pull off the feat. If she does, the long road back to
normalcy will have begun.
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NOTE: I'll be back on Monday with the rest of the regular
Corner segments, including an Indian Wells preview. All for
now.